Iowa has voted for Democrats in 5 out of the last 6 Presidential elections. Obama beat Romney 52% to 46% in 2012.
The pro-Democrat trend in Iowa may be about to change.
According to a new Quinnipiac poll, Donald Trump has opened up a big lead in Iowa:
IOWA: Trump 44 – Clinton 37, Johnson 10
Trump also wins the gender battle among Iowa likely voters, with a 52 – 26 percent lead among men, to Clinton’s 47 – 37 percent lead among women.
Johnson gets his biggest tally among Iowa independent voters, 19 percent, with 38 percent for Trump and 33 percent for Clinton. Republicans back Trump 86 – 4 percent, while Democrats back Clinton 83 – 5 percent.
“Donald Trump is running better in Iowa than other Midwestern states and that shows in his lead in this poll. He has a slight lead among independent voters, but his margin there may be heavily tied to demographics.
Of course, the pollsters couldn’t conclude without a slightly racist hit at Trump supporters:
Iowa, with a voting bloc that is overwhelmingly white, lacks the kind of large minority population that has fueled Hillary Clinton’s lead in some of the large industrial states,” Brown said.
If Iowa goes Republican this year, that shortens the path to 270 electoral votes.
And puts Trump closer to the White House. A few more states, and he’s there!