Analyst Says Trump Has Doubled His Approval Among Black Voters

Democrats know that Trump has support from a significant portion of black voters and it scares the heck out of them. If Trump pulls even a small percentage of the black vote away from the Democrat in 2020, it’s game over.

A new column from M. Joseph Sheppard at People’s Pundit Daily suggests Trump has made great strides in this area:

The Black Canary Is Singing a Tragic Song for Democrats Who Are Deaf To It

In May 2018, I wrote Black Support For Trump is Rising Into The Danger Zone For Democrats in The Federalist. The analysis was based on a series of YouGov/The Economist Polls tracking black voters approval of President Donald Trump during a period of an improving economy and “the lowest level of black unemployment in history.”

I wanted to see if this undoubted economic revival — which was benefiting all minorities — would, as it did in 1936 under FDR, translate into growing support.

It would not be expected that a massive shift would take place. It took black voters two elections to move from decades of support for the GOP to the Democratic Party. But given the sharply polarized electorate even a relatively small block of voters moving across party lines could have a massive effect on the Electoral College.

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Thirteen months of YouGov/The Economist Polls — including highs marked by periods of economic benefits and lows marked by Charlottesville — aggregated to a 16% approval level. The last four months were in the 15% to 16% range, each month.

This is 100% above what then-candidate Trump received in 2016. Of course “approval” is not the same as actual votes cast but, as logical as these things can be, if even half of the approval supports above the 8% turns into 2020 votes, then the Electoral College possibilities for Trump are profound…

If current polling showing black support for President Trump has indeed more than solidified at 16% but actually ticked up to 19%, and if even half of that increase above 8% translates into actual votes, then the possibility of a historic realignment would be underway.

This is one of the reasons Democrats have rushed to discredit the “Blexit” movement.

FOX News described the movement in an article last fall:

What is Blexit? Candace Owens explains plan to lead ‘black exit’ from Democratic Party, impact 2020

Conservative activist Candace Owens says she wants to “free” black voters from the decades-long grip of the Democratic Party – and is urging them to support a new movement she’s calling “Blexit.”

“Blexit is a Renaissance,” Owens told Fox News, giving the backstory behind the campaign she launched over the weekend. “Blexit is the black exit from the Democratic Party. It’s the black exit from permanent victimhood, the black exit from the false idea that we are somehow separate from the rest of America.”

The movement is geared toward the next election cycle, not the midterms. Owens said she is focused on the 2020 elections and plans to hold rallies in every major American city she claims has been hurt by Democratic policies including Chicago, Philadelphia and Detroit.

“There are people that want to change their lives that have been lied to by the media,” Owens said. “There should be something waiting for them when they make that decision, and, now, Blexit will be there.”

Demographics are definitely shifting.

It’s no wonder Democrats are nervous.

 

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