Biden’s terrible poll numbers and awful job performance are putting a strain on his party that could cost them big time.
Longtime Democrat pollster Doug Schoen is trying to raise the alarm for Democrats but it’s not clear anyone is listening.
Schoen is particularly concerned about the upcoming governor races in Virginia and New Jersey.
He writes at The Hill:
It’s official: Biden’s performance is hurting Democrats’ electoral prospects
The recent drop in support for President Biden and his administration has imperiled Democratic gubernatorial candidates in Virginia and New Jersey, according to recent polling conducted by our firm, Schoen-Cooperman Research.
We find that, in Virginia, Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads by four points, 47 percent to 43 percent, and in New Jersey, Democrat and incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy leads by nine points, 50 percent to 41 percent.
Though Biden won both states by double-digits in 2020, our data indicates that the president’s declining ratings — brought on by his stalled domestic agenda, the botched Afghanistan withdrawal, the southern border crisis and the unchecked surge of progressivism — have demonstrably weakened Democrats in both races.
To that end, our poll found that two key likely voter subgroups — those who say they are absolutely certain to vote in November and those who say they vote in all gubernatorial elections — are less likely to support their respective Democratic gubernatorial candidate. This signals that both Democrats may be in an even more fragile position than most overall voter polls make it seem.
New Jersey is probably going to go for the Democrat, but it could be close.
Virginia is a whole other ballgame and Democrats are right to be nervous. Terry McAuliffe has been a terrible candidate and the Republican Glenn Youngkin is a solid choice to lead.