Joe Biden Gets No Bounce In Polls Following Democratic Convention And Trump Rising In Swing States

Traditionally, a candidate gets a bounce in the polls following their party’s national convention.

Not so for Joe Biden this year.

The Democratic National Convention was last week, but Biden has not registered a poll bounce.

Reuters reports:

Biden gets no convention bounce after Democratic gathering: Reuters/Ipsos poll

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden saw no bounce in popular support after last week’s Democratic National Convention, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday, pointing to Americans’ hardened political views.

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Biden held his lead over President Donald Trump in the national opinion poll taken Aug. 19 to 25, with 47% of registered voters backing the Democratic challenger and 40% supporting the Republican incumbent. That was a similar edge to what Biden had before his party’s convention, a scaled-back, virtual event because of the coronavirus pandemic.

That marks a shift from many past election cycles. The previous Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton, saw a 4-percentage-point gain against Trump after her party’s 2016 convention, while Trump’s support also rose 4 points after his party’s gathering that year. The Republicans are holding their convention, a mix of in-person and virtual events, this week…

The poll also found that while Biden improved his standing over the past month among African Americans, Trump has eaten into Biden’s advantage in the suburbs. He has been attacking Biden by painting him as a threat to the “suburban lifestyle dream.”

At the same time, President Trump is rising in polling in swing states.

CNBC reports:

Coronavirus concerns fall and Trump approval ticks higher in swing states, CNBC/Change Research poll finds

Voters’ concerns about the coronavirus have fallen and President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked higher in six swing states over the last two weeks, according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll.

Still, the improvement has not helped the president overcome a polling deficit against Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.

In Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 66% of likely voters said they have serious concerns about Covid-19, the survey released Wednesday found. The share fell from 69% in a poll taken two weeks earlier. The share of respondents who said they have “very serious” concerns about the coronavirus dropped to 45% from 49%…

Though the survey shows a competitive presidential race, it found Biden leading Trump by a 49% to 46% margin across the key states. He has an edge over the incumbent in five of the six states, while North Carolina is virtually tied.

As the election nears, and more people begin paying attention, the momentum is swinging to Trump.

That may even intensify over the coming weeks.

 

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