Liberal pollster and election forecaster Larry Sabato is well known for his ‘Crystal Ball.’
He has now issued his final read of the 2022 midterms and he is predicting that Republicans will win the House and the Senate.
If even he is saying this, the odds are definitely in the Republicans’ favor.
The Hill reports:
Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts GOP control of Senate with 51 seats
The nonpartisan election handicapper Sabato’s Crystal Ball is predicting the GOP will take control of the Senate with 51 seats ahead of Tuesday’s midterm elections.
The updated prediction, published on Monday by the University of Virginia’s Department of Politics, noted that the Senate races in Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania remain “jump balls”; however, the handicapper shifted its rating in Pennsylvania and Georgia to “leans Republican” and shifted the Nevada Senate race from a toss-up to “leans Democratic.”
The new ratings underline the importance of the Pennsylvania, Georgia and Nevada races to control of the Senate next year.
In Pennsylvania, polls have shown Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) neck-and-neck with Republican Mehmet Oz, while Sen. Raphael Warnock has a slight edge over GOP nominee Herschel Walker in Georgia.
“Basically, we just think the environment is not conducive to Democrats holding the Senate. Could they? Absolutely,” Sabato’s Crystal Ball said in its report, adding that it has “zero temptation” to pick against Republicans in close races such as North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin.
Sabato might be wrong about one thing. He thinks Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto is going to win the Nevada Senate race, but if you look at Real Clear Politics, Republican Adam Laxalt is leading. He has led in the last four polls as well.
Laxalt could definitely win.
Insider Advantage Final Polling
(R) Adam Laxalt: 50%
(D) Catherine Cortez Masto: 44%
(R) Herschel Walker: 49%
(D) Raphael Warnock: 47%
(R) Mehmet Oz: 48%
(D) John Fetterman: 45%
(R) Blake Masters: 48%
(D) Mark Kelly: 48% pic.twitter.com/wKSb5x4Vjd
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 8, 2022
We should know Tuesday night.