Gavin Newsom has been a disaster for California, and it seems a growing number of people in the state feel that way.
Democrats have been very confident that Newsom will beat his recall election, but new numbers suggest otherwise.
This will still be a steep hill for pro-recall voters to climb, but it is possible.
The Los Angeles Times reports:
Likely California voters now almost evenly split on Newsom recall, poll finds
Californians who say they expect to vote in the September recall election are almost evenly divided over whether to remove Gov. Gavin Newsom from office, evidence of how pivotal voter turnout will be in deciding the governor’s political fate, according to a new UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times.
The findings dispel the notion that California’s solid Democratic voter majority will provide an impenetrable shield for Newsom, and reveal a vulnerability created by a recall effort that has energized Republicans and been met with indifference by many Democrats and independent voters.
The poll found that 47% of likely California voters supported recalling the Democratic governor, compared with 50% who opposed removing Newsom from office — a difference just shy of the survey’s margin of error.
Conservative talk radio host Larry Elder, who last week won a court battle to appear on the Sept. 14 recall ballot, leads in the race to replace Newsom among the dozens of candidates in the running, while support for reality television star Caitlyn Jenner remains low, the survey found. Forty percent of likely voters remain undecided on a replacement candidate, providing ample opportunity for other gubernatorial hopefuls to rise in the ranks before the Sept. 14 special election.
Meanwhile, Larry Elder is brimming with confidence and enthusiasm.
— Larry Elder (@larryelder) July 23, 2021
This race is going to get very interesting.