Most people believe that Republicans will easily win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms.
There has been much more speculation about the Senate, although some outlets have predicted that Republicans will win control there as well.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich seems convinced that Republicans will retake the Senate.
He writes at Newsweek:
The GOP’s Coming U.S. Senate Landslide
There is consensus that U.S. House Republicans will win a majority this fall, and that Kevin McCarthy will be the next speaker of the House.
There is a lot more confusion about the U.S. Senate races. Republicans are handwringing, and Democrats are hopeful as they think through the state-by-state races for U.S. Senate.
But there’s a flaw in the popular Senate race analysis. Most people are thinking about Senate races as small, individual contests. When you think of each race as small and individual, there is hope the Democrats could keep the current 50-50 split—or lose only a few seats. This kind of small race analysis emphasizes candidate quality, money raised, and current polling (which is inconclusive, at best).
But if the 2022 Senate elections are analyzed and run as a big, nationalized races, the Democrats will likely lose the Senate by a wide margin.
When you have 9.1% inflation (compared to 1.4% inflation when Donald Trump left office), Democratic candidates at any level should feel like they are in trouble. The highest price of gasoline in history—more than double the price just two years ago—does not help them.
You may want to read the whole thing.
Gingrich is definitely right about one thing. Everyone is talking about inflation.
By the end of 2022, the USDA predicts that grocery prices will have increased between 10% and 11% year over year.
Americans are paying more to keep food on the table and Biden’s response is to print more money.
Printing more money will only make inflation worse!
— Senator Ted Cruz (@SenTedCruz) July 25, 2022
1. There is no inflation
2. It's Vladimir Putin's inflation
3. These are Putin's gas prices
4. They're Biden's gas prices if they go down
5. We're not in a recession
6. We've redefined recession
7. This is Putin's recession
— John Hayward (@Doc_0) July 25, 2022
This Orwellian White House seeks to redefine "recession."
With terrible inflation and growth numbers surely on deck this week, WH economists now argue for a fuzzy "holistic" approach: pic.twitter.com/ri4mUQpNy6
— Steve Cortes (@CortesSteve) July 25, 2022
Democrats don’t deserve to win.
While Americans are hurting, all they can talk about is Janaury 6th.