Most political analysts already believe that the Republicans will retake the House of Representatives in November, the only question is by what margin. How big will the win be?
One forecaster, Politico, has just moved ten races into the GOP’s favor.
Things seem to be looking better for Republicans with each passing day.
Look at this:
🚨 POLITICO: Ten races out of 12 are moving toward Republicans
CA 13: Lean D to Toss Up
OR 06: Lean D to Toss Up
OR 05: Lean D to Toss Up
OR 04: Likely D to Lean D
WI 03: Lean R to Likely R
MI 10: Lean R to Likely R
FL 15: Lean R to Likely Rhttps://t.co/2UlSzqEied
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 19, 2022
A slate of races now lean Republican in our latest forecast update
The GOP is tantalizingly close to its goal of taking the House majority in three weeks, after an at-times-uneven, two-year campaign to flip the chamber.
POLITICO’s Election Forecast still rates the race to control the House as “Likely Republican” — but of the dozen newest updates, 10 individual contests moved in Republicans’ direction.
Two new races are moving into the “Toss Up” column, both in districts President Joe Biden carried by double digits in 2020. One of the two new toss-ups is in Oregon, where Democrats are struggling up and down the ticket.
There are still some bright spots on the map for Democrats, including Alaska, where the state’s lone House seat is now rated “Lean Democratic” after now-Rep. Mary Peltola’s surprise special-election victory this summer.
But, in typical fashion for a midterm election, the political environment is favoring Republicans as the campaign draws to a close. The generic congressional ballot has moved in the GOP’s direction after trending toward Democrats over the summer.
The 2022 midterms are starting to look like the 2010 and 2014 midterms, both of which were historic wins for Republicans.
They might actually win back both chambers of Congress.