People have gotten so immersed in news about the Coronavirus crisis that it’s easy to forget there is a presidential election in November.
Democrats and the media are clearly hoping that this crisis will diminish Trump’s chances at being reelected.
Not everyone agrees with that premise.
Joshua Sandman is a political science professor at the University of New Haven.
He writes at The Hill:
Trump on course for reelection, even if he loses the popular vote
The ongoing chaotic mismanagement of the coronavirus crisis would seem to jeopardize President Trump’s reelection prospects; however, an analysis of the Electoral College vote puts Trump in a favorable reelection position.
My projection gives Trump 249 and Joe Biden 248 electoral votes. Three states — Arizona (11 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), and Wisconsin (10 Electoral votes) — are toss-up states. Trump won all three in 2016, and he has a good chance to win these states again in 2020.
Several factors work in Trump’s favor. First, former Vice President Joe Biden’s debating and campaigning performances have ranged from inarticulate to incoherent. Also, his expressions and tone of speech focus on the past and do not resonate with younger voters.
Second, despite an endorsement from Bernie Sanders, the especially fervent Sanders supporters will not vote for Biden. They are driven by issues and ideology, not loyalty to Sanders personally. They see Biden as no different from Trump — another part of a corrupt establishment that has fought change and fostered inequality.
In fact, Sanders, by pushing Biden to embrace his leftist/Socialist agenda, drives moderate voters away from the Biden camp.
One of the main reasons Trump is likely to win is that people believe in his commitment to America and the American people.
Trump has faith in the ability of the people to bring back the economy.
It shows in this amazing new ad. Check it out:
— Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) April 28, 2020
Trump supporters can’t take anything for granted but his chances of winning reelection are very good.