You may have seen polls pushed by liberal news outlets that suggest Joe Biden is leading Trump.
In some ways, this is like 2016 all over again.
You should be aware that not all polls agree. A new poll from Zogby shows that a majority of voters believe Trump will win in the end.
The Washington Examiner reports:
Majority agree Trump will beat Biden, 51%-43%
Utah Sen. Mitt Romney isn’t the only one who thinks President Trump will win reelection despite turmoil over the coronavirus and race.
The latest 2020 Zogby Poll of 1,007 likely voters shared with Secrets gave Trump a 51%-43% edge over Democrat Joe Biden. The poll has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
Most polls show Biden beating Trump, though Zogby recently put the race as a dead heat, 46%-46%.
The new poll is different. Instead of asking for their preference, it asked which candidate do voters think will win regardless of their personal politics. Here, issues such as voter enthusiasm play a role. And the belief that Republicans are better for the economy, also tested in the survey, likely gave Trump a slight edge.
In his analysis, pollster Jonathan Zogby said that Trump remains very strong with his base. He is also winning middle age and older voters. And he’s crushing Biden among union workers.
Importantly, Trump is in a virtual tie with Biden among women, Hispanic, and suburban voters.
Here’s more, directly from Zogby:
Voters believe Trump will win; Regardless of their political support; Voters split on which party is a bigger threat to economic recovery; Independents and Hispanics say Democrats are a bigger threat
Overall, a slim majority (51%) of likely voters thought, regardless of their political support, President Trump would win re-election over Democratic nominee Joe Biden (43%), while 6% thought someone else would win the 2020 Presidential Election.
The subgroups most likely to believe the president would win were his base: Born Again Christians (Trump 68%/Biden 28%), NASCAR fans (Trump 68%/Biden 29%), union voters (Trump 61%/Biden 35%), and voters who recently lost a job (Trump 58%/Biden 34%). Most other demographics agreed Trump would beat Biden in 2020, regardless of their political ideology or support. Here is a breakdown of other important subgroups who thought Trump would beat Biden regardless of their political leanings: both men (Trump 57%/Biden 39%) and women (Trump 47%/Biden 46%) said Trump would win, as did voters living in the East (Trump 49%/Biden 45%), South (Trump 53%/Biden 42%) and Central/Great Lakes (Trump 56%/Biden 38%). The West region (Biden 49%/Trump 42%) disagreed with voters, overall, and felt Biden had the best chance to win in 2020.
Of course, Trump supporters can take nothing for granted if they want to win in November.