Pollster Moves New Jersey Senate Race To ‘Toss-Up’ As Republican Bob Hugin Closes In

As we get closer to the midterms, Republican Bob Hugin is getting closer to beating Democrat incumbent Bob Menendez. The race is so close now that the Cook Political report has moved blue New Jersey to ‘toss-up’ status.

Here’s their report:

Senate: 11 Days Out; NJ Moves to Toss Up

With November 6 just 11 days away, it seems that the overall Senate playing field won’t change much, although it appears that some of the races in Toss Up are getting even tighter, if that’s possible.

That said, it is getting more difficult to see a path to the majority for Democrats. With Democratic U.S. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp heading for defeat in North Dakota, Democrats now need a net gain of three seats to win the majority. One way would be to hold the five Democratic seats in Toss Up, and pick up three of the four Republican-held seats in Toss Up. That’s just not a realistic scenario…

There is an addition to the Toss Up column as the race in New Jersey moves there from the Lean Democratic column. The contest isn’t about anything else but Democratic U.S. Sen. Bob Menendez and his ethics problems. His opponent, pharmaceutical CEO Bob Hugin, has outspent the incumbent, $27.7 million to $11.8 million, according to the pre-election FEC report, and most of Hugin’s money has funded television ads. The Senate Majority PAC, the Democrats’ Senate super PAC, has now invested nearly $6.5 million in the race, including a $3 million advertising buy this week. This investment levels the playing field somewhat, but Hugin still holds a very definitive advantage on television.

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This is fantastic news. If Democrats lose a Senate seat in a blue state like New Jersey, you know there is no blue wave.


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