RED WAVE: Forecasters Shifting Multiple House Races Towards Republicans For 2022 Midterms

Republicans are already expected to retake the House of Representatives in the November midterms, the only question is by what margin.

Now, political forecasters are shifting multiple House races towards Republicans.

The prospect of a true red wave is becoming more of a reality.

The Washington Examiner reports:

Series of swing House seats moving Republicans’ way, political handicappers say

Two nonpartisan political forecasters shifted multiple House seat ratings in Republicans’ direction on Wednesday, with the party trying to net at least the five seats it needs to win a majority in the 435-member chamber.

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Cook Political Report moved Indiana’s 1st Congressional District, currently represented by Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan from “likely D” to “lean D.” Two Nevada House seats held by Democrats, Reps. Steven Horsford and Susie Lee, moved from “lean D” to a “toss up.”

Additionally, New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District, Rep. Andy Kim’s seat, moved from “solid D” to a “likely D.” New York’s 19th Congressional District, represented by Rep. Antonio Delgado, moved from “likely D” to “lean D,” and Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, held by Rep. Abigail Spanberger, moved from “lean D” to a “toss-up.”

Two open seats also shifted, with New York’s 4th Congressional District changing from a “solid D” to a “likely D” seat and North Carolina’s 1st Congressional District moving from a “likely D” to a “Lean D.”

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Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved 11 seats in favor of Republicans…

The Washington Free Beacon has more:

More Evidence House Democrats Are in for a Shellacking This November

House Democrats will almost certainly lose their majority in November’s midterm elections, as 11 more races have moved in favor of Republicans, according to the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.

Of the 11 rating changes, four became “safe Republican” districts, and one “leans Democratic” district switched to a tossup. Five “likely Democratic” districts in which President Joe Biden won the popular vote now “lean Democratic.” One formerly “safe Democratic” district in California—whose polling the Washington Free Beacon exclusively reported on April 1 as virtually tied—shifted a degree further toward Republicans. Democrats will likely retain 198 seats, whereas Republicans will likely win 210. Twenty-seven will be tossups.

“Given the political environment,” the author of the ratings, Kyle Kondik, wrote, “we’d expect Republicans to do quite well among the tossup races.” The UVA Center for Politics released the findings as part of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan political newsletter founded by Larry J. Sabato, a professor, pundit, and author of two dozen books on U.S. politics.

Things are going to look very different in Washington a year from now.


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