Democrats have very little steam heading into the 2022 midterm elections.
Their own voters are tired of Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer, Joe Biden is a disaster, and they haven’t been able to pass key parts of their agenda.
Republicans on the other hand, have a considerable amount of enthusiasm on their side.
NBC News reports:
Democrats face double-digit enthusiasm deficit ahead of midterms
If it’s Monday … President Biden meets with members of his administration to discuss lowering prices for families. … The Latest NBC News poll finds Americans in a grim mood. … The U.S. weighs troop deployment near Ukraine. … Embattled Rep. Henry Cuellar has a new TV ad. … And what an NFL playoff weekend.
But first: Democrats have a big enthusiasm problem 10 months before the midterm election, according to our NBC News poll.
While Democrats hold a narrow 1-point lead in congressional preference, Republicans enjoy a double-digit enthusiasm advantage, with 61 percent of Republicans saying they are very interested in the upcoming midterms — registering their interest either as a 9 or 10 on a 10-point scale.
That’s compared with 47 percent of Democrats who have the same high level of interest.
In previous midterm cycles — whether 2006, 2010, 2014 or 2018 — the party that held a double-digit advantage in enthusiasm (or close to it) ended up making substantial gains, our pollsters say.
Just look at this year by year comparison:
– 2006: D+13 in high interest (Democrats picked up 30 House seats)
– 2010: R+17 (GOP picked up 63 House seats)
– 2014: R+11 (GOP picked up 13 House seats)
– 2018: D+9 (Democrats picked up 40 House seats)
– Now: R+14 (???)
If this trend continues, the 2022 midterms should be similar in scope to the 2010 midterms, when Republicans picked up over 60 seats.
In fact, 2022 could be even bigger when you figure in independent voters who are abandoning the Democrats at an alarming pace.